Which one of these is a better cabinet for progressive rock, hard rock, and some metal?
Yep, the marshall
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Is there a 212 version of the 1960 though? I hate carrying 412's

no i don't think there is, but there are other 212 marshalls though.
I would always prefer a 4x12 over a 2x12. So, in this case, I would say go for the Marshall. If you were talking about a 2x12 Marshall or a 2x12 Orange, I would say Orange.